Arouca vs Estrela — AI Match Analysis, Predicted Score & Betting Tips
Primeira Liga · 11 Oct 2026 · Free AI Football Predictions by OddsFactory AI
Primeira Liga· Portugal

Arouca
#5 · 11 pts
All comps · last 5
LWDLD
⬇️ Poor FormVS
3-1
± 1 goal
Sun 11 Oct
⏱ until kickoff

Estrela
#8 · 10 pts
All comps · last 5
WDWDL
➡️ NeutralArouca
2.20
45% impl.
Draw
3.35
30% impl.
Estrela
3.35
30% impl.
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
Squads
Squads where available, plus known injuries and doubts · this season's appearances, goals and assists.
Arouca25 players
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Goalkeepers
12I. de Arruabarrena29 y · Uruguay11––7.4
1J. Vinarčík21 y · Slovakia––––
71M. Duarte23 y · Portugal––––
Defenders
28Tiago Esgaio31 y · Portugal11––6.8
3José Fontán26 y · Spain112–7.4
18O. Lebedenko28 y · Ukraine11––6.8
15Javi Sánchez29 y · Spain10–17.2
21Mateo Flores22 y · Spain10––6.5
5B. Popović26 y · Serbia2––3.6
4Diogo Monteiro21 y · Portugal1––1.4
37Mario Climent24 y · Spain1––1.6
Midfielders
7N. Djouahra26 y · France11–56.8
8T. Fukui22 y · Japan111–7.0
6E. van Ee23 y · Netherlands111–6.9
19A. Trezza27 y · Uruguay11–16.5
10Pablo Gozálbez25 y · Spain9–16.0
14Lee Hyun-Ju23 y · Korea Republic7–16.5
89Pedro Santos26 y · Portugal9––6.9
Forwards
17Barbero28 y · Spain115–6.7
23D. Nandín24 y · Uruguay102–6.6
20G. Rukavina22 y · Croatia4––5.0
24B. Mansilla24 y · Uruguay10––6.5
9F. Mayulu24 y · France2––2.6
27Mamadú Rachid Gomes Baldé ––––
77S. Park19 y · South Korea––––
EstrelaFull squad unavailable
Full squad unavailable for Estrela yet — no player news reported.
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Estrela squad & season stats Best Picks
Best PickAI-REVIEWEDSome context
Over 1.5 Goals
@1.32
92% probability
92%
Our AI reasoning
Both teams are offensively inclined (1.4 and 2.0 goals per match) and the combined expected goal total (~3.2) makes a total over 1.5 virtually certain, especially with low stakes and no defensive head‑to‑head pattern.
2
Estrela Over 0.5 GoalsAI-REVIEWEDSome context
83%
@1.39
+11.1%
3
Double Chance - Arouca or EstrelaLimited data
76%
@1.31
Stats Battle
Arouca
Estrela
1.429Avg Goals Scored▲2
1Avg Goals Conceded▲2
5▲League Position8
11▲Points10
All Markets179 markets · AI analysis
🔍
Goals
Under
Over
1.5
@3.40 · 8%
@1.32 · 92%+16.2%
2.5
@1.88 · 32%
@1.98 · 68%+17.5%
3.5
@1.34 · 49%
@3.30 · 51%+20.7%
4.5
@1.13 · 55%
@6.10 · 45%+28.6%
Arouca Goals
Under
Over
0.5
@3.70 · 12%
@1.25 · 88%+8%
1.5
@1.67 · 39%
@2.12 · 61%+13.8%
2.5
@1.19 · 60%
@4.35 · 40%+17%
3.5
—
@8.50 · 21%+9.2%
Exact 5 Goals
18%
@10.50
+8.5%
Exact 6 Goals
13%
@22.00
+8.5%
Arouca Score 4+ Goals
21%
@8.50
+9.2%
Estrela Score 3 Goals
17%
@9.75
+6.7%
Estrela Over 0.5 Goals
83%
@1.39
+11.1%
Responsible Gambling: Probabilities and picks are AI-generated statistical analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. Always verify current team news. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+ only. If gambling is affecting you, seek help at begambleaware.org