Defensor Sporting vs Penarol — AI Match Analysis, Predicted Score & Betting Tips
Primera División · 15 Nov 2026 · Free AI Football Predictions by OddsFactory AI
Primera División· Uruguay

Defensor Sporting
#13 · 12 pts
All comps · last 5
LLLDW
⬇️ Poor FormVS
1-1
± 1 goal
Sun 15 Nov
⏱ until kickoff

Penarol
#5 · 22 pts
All comps · last 5
DLDLD
⬇️ Poor FormDefensor Sporting
4.55
22% impl.
Draw
3.60
28% impl.
Penarol
1.65
61% impl.
Estadio Luis Franzini · Montevideo
Best Picks
Best PickAI-REVIEWEDSome context
Under 3.5 Goals
@1.31
77% probability
77%
Our AI reasoning
The Elo gap (164) and Defensor's poor defensive record against stronger opposition suggest a suppressed attack. Both teams' recent form shows few goals and the model cites solid defenses (λ=2.5), making an under‑3.5 goal total the most plausible outcome.
2
Over 1.5 GoalsLimited data
70%
@1.31
3
Double Chance - Defensor Sporting or PenarolAI-REVIEWEDLimited data
74%
@1.25
Stats Battle
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1.231Avg Goals Scored▲1.308
1.769▲Avg Goals Conceded0.692
13League Position▲5
12Points▲22
All Markets125 markets · AI analysis
🔍
Exact 2 Goals
36%
@3.50
+7.43%
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
@1.12
+6.71%
Penarol Under 1.5 Goals
60%
@1.91
+7.64%
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