Derby vs Stoke City — AI Match Analysis, Predicted Score & Betting Tips
Championship · 17 Oct 2026 · Free AI Football Predictions by OddsFactory AI
Championship· England
Derby
#23 · 6 pts
All comps · last 5
LLLDD
⬇️ Poor FormVS
1-1
± 1 goal
Sat 17 Oct
⏱ until kickoff
Stoke City
#4 · 16 pts
All comps · last 5
DWWWL
⬆️ Good FormDerby
2.92
34% impl.
Draw
3.40
29% impl.
Stoke City
2.42
41% impl.
Pride Park Stadium · Derby
Squads
Full squads with injuries and doubts · this season's appearances, goals and assists.
Derby29 players
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Goalkeepers
31J. Vickers30 y · England4––2.9
12R. O'Donnell38 y · England––––
Defenders
28D. Sanderson26 y · England14––6.6
23J. Ward31 y · England11––6.7
18C. Taylor33 y · England9––6.6
24R. Nyambe28 y · Namibia91–5.3
22M. Johnston22 y · Scotland9––5.0
14J. Robinson33 y · England41–6.4
3C. Forsyth37 y · Scotland3––5.1
25S. Duffy34 y · Republic of Ireland1––2.2
5M. Clarke30 y · England1––6.3
43I. Gordon19 y · England1––1.9
42Raymond Offor19 y · Republic of Ireland––––
Midfielders
8B. Clark21 y · England16326.6
26R. Hedges31 y · Wales12––6.6
4D. Ozoh21 y · England10––6.6
27L. Travis29 y · England8––6.7
29O. Fraulo22 y · Denmark12–15.5
13F. Bilbija26 y · Germany81–5.9
37Owen Eames20 y · England1––5.8
40C. Allen19 y · Wales––––
41C. Smith ––––
Forwards
11S. Szmodics31 y · Republic of Ireland14416.7
9C. Morris30 y · England12126.8
16M. Fuseini24 y · Ghana10126.8
10R. Brewster26 y · England12116.5
19H. Meister22 y · Denmark9––6.2
15L. Salvesen30 y · Norway142–6.1
33C. Blackett-Taylor29 y · England9––5.3
Stoke City21 players
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Goalkeepers
24J. Griffiths25 y · England1––7.9
34F. Fielding38 y · England––––
Defenders
16B. Wilmot27 y · England162–6.9
2B. Johnson26 y · England141–6.7
17E. Bocat27 y · France12227.0
40M. Talovierov26 y · Ukraine11––5.9
21L. Bombino20 y · USA10––6.7
22J. Tchamadeu22 y · England7–16.5
23B. Gibson33 y · England1––2.2
52L. Giani18 y · Italy1––6.7
43F. Anderson20 y · England1––6.6
Midfielders
27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré23 y · Senegal16––6.7
10Bae Jun-Ho23 y · Korea Republic8–15.2
42M. Manhoef24 y · Netherlands8––5.9
6S. Ingelsson28 y · Sweden5––6.5
4B. Pearson31 y · England4––6.3
59G. Kelly ––––
Forwards
11L. Cissé23 y · France9117.0
20S. Gallagher31 y · England8216.9
58T. Martin 1––6.3
49M. Smit23 y · Netherlands––––
Best Picks
Best PickRich context
Derby Over 1.5 Corners - 1H
@1.37
74% probability
74%
Our AI reasoning
Derby has a high probability (74%) of corners in the 1st half — pressure from kickoff, confirmed by the probability model, not just a raw average H1 specific is justified: the calculated probability for H1 corners is 74%, and Stoke City concedes 5.3 corners/match overall. The opponent can resist the first 20-30 minutes — a smaller window than the full match. Consciously accepted for a better odd.
2
Over 8.5 CornersRich context
69%
@1.39
3
Derby Over 3.5 CornersSome context
72%
@1.28
4
Over 1.5 GoalsSome context
75%
@1.33
5
Double Chance - Derby or Stoke CitySome context
78%
@1.31
+1.7%
Stats Battle
Derby
Stoke City
0.889Avg Goals Scored▲1.667
1.667▲Avg Goals Conceded1.444
23League Position▲4
6Points▲16
All Markets195 markets · AI analysis
🔍
Goals
Under
Over
3.5
@1.33 · 93%+17.8%
@3.35 · 7%
4.5
@1.12 · 97%+7.7%
@6.30 · 3%
Derby Goals
Under
Over
1.5
@1.47 · 56%
@2.57 · 44%+5.1%
2.5
@1.12 · 76%
@5.60 · 24%+6.1%
Exact 4 Goals
27%
@5.90
+10.1%
Stoke City Over 2.5 Goals
26%
@4.85
+5.4%
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