Progreso vs Defensor Sporting — AI Match Analysis, Predicted Score & Betting Tips

Primera División · 01 Nov 2026 · Free AI Football Predictions by OddsFactory AI

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Primera División· Uruguay
Progreso
Progreso
#6 · 19 pts
All comps · last 5
WLDWW
⬆️ Good Form
VS
2-1
± 1 goal
Sun 01 Nov
⏱ until kickoff
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
#15 · 9 pts
All comps · last 5
LLLLD
⬇️ Poor Form
Progreso
2.62
38% impl.
Draw
3.10
32% impl.
Defensor Sporting
2.52
40% impl.
Parque Abraham Paladino · Montevideo

Squads

Squads where available, plus known injuries and doubts · this season's appearances, goals and assists.

Progreso logoProgresoFull squad unavailable

Full squad unavailable for Progreso yet — no player news reported.

PlayerStatusAppsGA
Defensor Sporting logoDefensor Sporting34 players
PlayerStatusAppsGA
Goalkeepers
  • 12K. Dawson34 y · Uruguay1––
  • 1L. Machado28 y · Uruguay–––
  • 12Fabian Cristaldo –––
  • 23B. Simone22 y · Uruguay–––
Defenders
Midfielders
  • 10X. Biscayzacú21 y · Mexico1––
  • 7N. Medina23 y · Argentina1––
  • 24L. de los Santos25 y · Uruguay1––
  • 5G. Barrios22 y · Uruguay1––
  • 6Bruno Pereira –––
  • 8Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás23 y · Uruguay–––
  • 16A. Perdomo –––
  • 18Lorenzo Cafaro –––
  • 25Diego Abella –––
  • 27J. Jorge22 y · Uruguay–––
  • 29T. Pozzo –––
  • 30E. Cuello –––
  • 55M. Rabuñal –––
Forwards
  • 26B. Montenegro33 y · Paraguay1––
  • 22A. Torterolo18 y · Uruguay1––
  • 99Lautaro Navarro18 y · Uruguay1––
  • 9J. Neris –––
  • 18Emiliano Alonso –––
  • 19J. Diaz –––
  • 21N. Scotti –––
  • 77F. Castro –––
Defensor Sporting squad & season stats
Best Picks
Best PickAI-REVIEWEDLimited data
Over 1.5 Goals
@1.36
81% probability
81%
Our AI reasoning

Both sides average just over one goal per game (1.1 + 1.2), and the combined expected goal total (λ≈2.6) makes a total of at least two goals very probable. Progreso’s recent wins have often involved scoring, and even a struggling Defensor Sporting will likely find the net at least once against a mid‑table opponent. The model’s 81% probability reinforces the expectation that the match will exceed 1.5 goals.

2
Under 3.5 GoalsLimited data
64%
@1.27
Stats Battle
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
1.083Avg Goals Scored▲1.167
1.083Avg Goals Conceded▲1.917
6▲League Position15
19▲Points9
All Markets141 markets · AI analysis
🔍
Goals
Under
Over
1.5
@3.00 · 19%
@1.36 · 81%+7.5%
2.5
@1.72 · 46%
@2.05 · 54%+5.2%
3.5
@1.27 · 64%
@3.50 · 36%+7.4%
Exact 3 Goals 1H
17%
@11.00
+7.9%
Exact 4 Goals
23%
@6.30
+7.1%
Progreso Over 0.5 Goals
79%
@1.36
+5.5%
Defensor Sporting Over 2.5 Goals
23%
@5.60
+5.1%

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