Rio Ave vs Nacional — AI Match Analysis, Predicted Score & Betting Tips
Primeira Liga · 11 Oct 2026 · Free AI Football Predictions by OddsFactory AI
Primeira Liga· Portugal

Rio Ave
#16 · 4 pts
All comps · last 5
WLLDL
⬇️ Poor FormVS
2-1
± 1 goal
Sun 11 Oct
⏱ until kickoff

Nacional
#15 · 4 pts
All comps · last 5
LLLLL
⬇️ Poor FormRio Ave
2.30
43% impl.
Draw
3.25
31% impl.
Nacional
3.25
31% impl.
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde
Squads
Full squads with injuries and doubts · this season's appearances, goals and assists.
Rio Ave30 players
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Goalkeepers
99E. van der Gouw25 y · Netherlands7––6.1
32Vitor Hugo25 y · Brazil3––5.1
98R. Real ––––
Defenders
23F. Petrasso24 y · Argentina91–6.0
54G. Liavas25 y · Greece8––6.4
39Gustavo Mancha22 y · Brazil7––5.6
20João Tomé23 y · Portugal6–16.3
6N. Abbey23 y · England4––6.9
3S. Garcia21 y · Colombia3––4.7
24Pedro Amaral29 y · Portugal3––6.2
14J. Brabec34 y · Czechia2––7.1
68Caike21 y · Brazil2––3.3
63J. Lomboto24 y · France1––3.1
83D. Balde ––––
Midfielders
7Diogo Bezerra24 y · Brazil10136.5
44T. Nikitscher27 y · Hungary7––5.3
90Diogo Nascimento24 y · Portugal6––6.7
30R. Galčík25 y · Slovakia91–5.9
19M. Sellouki26 y · France7––6.5
70A. Wenck20 y · Senegal1––3.1
27T. Medina22 y · Argentina––––
Forwards
11J. Blesa25 y · USA10317.0
17M. Vrousai28 y · Greece10––6.4
9Tamble Monteiro25 y · Portugal101–6.6
79M. Patricio19 y · Portugal71–6.6
80S. Clemmensen23 y · Denmark6116.4
77D. Špikić27 y · Croatia6––5.5
67Samuel18 y · Brazil1––6.5
21R. Šiler22 y · Czechia––––
25Rafael Genuino20 y · Brazil––––
Nacional28 players
PlayerStatusAppsGARtg
Goalkeepers
1Renato Bellucci20 y · Italy10––7.0
13João Gonçalves26 y · Portugal––––
50Kevyn21 y · Brazil––––
Defenders
38Zé Vitor25 y · Brazil101–6.7
6Matheus Dias24 y · Brazil9––6.3
33Francisco Gonçalves22 y · Portugal6–16.4
34Léo Santos27 y · Brazil5117.2
2Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz22 y · Ecuador5––5.3
5José Gomes30 y · Portugal1––2.1
14Ivanildo Fernandes30 y · Cape Verde1––2.2
Midfielders
7M. Jensen21 y · Denmark8––6.8
52Wesley Gasolina26 y · Brazil71–6.8
11S. Gavriel24 y · Cyprus10––6.5
15C. Labidi25 y · Tunisia6––6.7
28Liziero28 y · Brazil4117.0
20Matchoi Djaló23 y · Portugal81–6.6
22Filipe Soares27 y · Portugal4––6.7
88Deivison20 y · Brazil5––5.4
31D. Dongmo25 y · Cameroon3––6.0
26Joel da Silva23 y · Portugal3––5.0
17F. Nava22 y · Bolivia2––4.3
23Mateus Iseppe20 y · Brazil1––6.7
30Martim Watts21 y · Portugal––––
Forwards
8Miguel Baeza26 y · Spain102–6.8
99Pablo Ruan23 y · Brazil91–6.8
10Daniel Júnior24 y · Brazil9–16.9
12Song Min-Kyu27 y · Korea Republic5–16.8
29N. Kader23 y · Cameroon32–6.9
Best Picks
Best PickSome context
Over 1.5 Goals
@1.38
71% probability
71%
Our AI reasoning
Both teams offensive — 0.7 + 1.0 goals/match, λ=3.0 A defensive start to the match can keep the score low. λ=3.0 provides margin vs the 1.5 line.
2
Nacional Over 3.5 CornersSome context
62%
@1.38
3
Double Chance - Rio Ave or NacionalLimited data
71%
@1.33
Stats Battle
Rio Ave
Nacional
0.714Avg Goals Scored▲1
2.143Avg Goals Conceded2.143
16League Position▲15
4Points4
All Markets193 markets · AI analysis
🔍
Goals
Under
Over
1.5
@3.20 · 29%
@1.38 · 71%
3.5
@1.29 · 76%
@3.65 · 24%
4.5
@1.10 · 90%
@6.90 · 10%
Rio Ave Goals
Under
Over
0.5
@3.50 · 27%
@1.28 · 73%
2.5
@1.15 · 82%
@4.90 · 18%
Nacional Over 0.5 Goals
73%
@1.42
+2.6%
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